Wednesday, 9 July 2025

🧠 Nifty 50 Trade Plan – 10 July 2025 Daily & Intraday Strategy with 17th July Weekly Options Hedge

 

 

 

 

 


🧠 Nifty 50 Trade Plan – 10 July 2025

Daily & Intraday Strategy with 17th July Weekly Options Hedge


📊 Daily Chart Outlook

  • Price remains in a rising channel, showing bullish structure.

  • However, sideways consolidation around 25,450–25,500 is visible.

  • EMA Supports:

    • 20 EMA @ 25,295

    • 50 EMA @ 24,886

  • Stoch RSI: Cooling from overbought (potential sideways or mild correction)


📉 1-Hour & 5-Min Chart Insights

  • Support: 25,450

  • Resistance: 25,496 → 25,602

  • Intraday weakness visible on early charts, but buyers are defending 25,450.


🎯 Intraday Strategy (10 July 2025)

🔻 Scenario 1: Breakdown below 25,450

  • Sell Nifty Futures or ATM PE below 25,450

  • Targets:

    • T1: 25,420

    • T2: 25,385

    • T3: 25,335

  • SL: 25,496

📌 Option Strategy for 17th July Expiry

📉 Bear Put Spread

  • Buy 25,400 PE

  • Sell 25,300 PE

  • Net Debit: Low Risk & Defined Reward

  • View: Short-term correction this week


🔺 Scenario 2: Breakout above 25,496

  • Buy Nifty Futures or ATM CE above 25,496

  • Targets:

    • T1: 25,530

    • T2: 25,570

    • T3: 25,600

  • SL: 25,450

📌 Option Strategy for 17th July Expiry

📈 Bull Call Spread

  • Buy 25,500 CE

  • Sell 25,600 CE

  • Net Debit: Moderate reward, limited loss

  • View: Bounce continuation toward upper trendline


⚖️ If Market Stays in Range (25,450–25,496)

Consider a Short Strangle or Iron Condor for option writers

📌 Iron Condor – 17th July Weekly Expiry

  • Sell 25,400 PE & 25,600 CE

  • Buy 25,300 PE & 25,700 CE

  • Targeting time decay (theta), with safe hedged risk


📝 Summary Table

DirectionEntryTargetSLOption Strategy
📉 ShortBelow 25,45025,33525,496Bear Put Spread (25,400–25,300 PE)
📈 LongAbove 25,49625,60025,450Bull Call Spread (25,500–25,600 CE)
⚖️ NeutralRange25,450–25,496Iron Condor (25,300–25,700 hedge)

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