Friday, 1 August 2025

Ethereum Option Strategy: 02-08-2025

Ethereum Option Strategy Report - Bear Call Spread

Ethereum (ETH) Options Strategy Report

Expiry Date: August 8, 2025 | Current ETH Price: ~$3,568.49 USD

Technical Analysis Observations

TimeframeAnalysis Summary
1-Week Chart The long-term uptrend is showing signs of a potential reversal with the price being rejected near $3,900. The Stochastic RSI at 97.24 is deeply overbought, indicating a high likelihood of a cooldown.
1-Day Chart A significant bearish signal as a large red candle has broken below the 20 EMA, which is a key support level. The Stochastic RSI is in an oversold state at 1.16, but the overall trend on this timeframe is now bearish.
1-Hour Chart A clear short-term downtrend is in place, with the price trading consistently below all key EMAs. The EMAs are fanning out in a bearish configuration, confirming the strong momentum.
15-Minute Chart The price is in a strong downtrend, making lower lows. The Stochastic RSI is oversold, suggesting a potential minor relief rally, but the overall bearish pressure is dominant.

Proposed Strategy: Bear Call Spread

Based on the combined technical analysis suggesting a strong short-term bearish trend and a potential reversal in the long-term, a **Bear Call Spread** is proposed. This is a risk-defined strategy that profits when the underlying asset's price falls or stays below a certain level. The strategy involves selling an Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Call and simultaneously buying a further OTM Call as a hedge.

Strategy Legs:

  • Sell: 10 contracts of ETH 3700 Call @ ~$67.80
  • Buy: 10 contracts of ETH 3750 Call @ ~$53.10
  • Contract Size: 0.01 ETH per contract

Based on the validation data, a total of 0.1 ETH (10 contracts of 0.01 ETH) was used for this strategy.

Strategy Payoff Details & Validation

ParameterCalculated ValueExternal Tool ValueMatch
Net Premium Received $1.51 USD (~₹128) $1.51 USD (~₹128)
Maximum Profit $1.51 USD (~₹128) $1.51 USD (~₹128)
Maximum Loss -$3.48 USD (~-₹296) -$3.48 USD (~-₹296)
Breakeven Point $3715.20 USD (~₹315,792) $3715.20 USD (~₹315,792)
Capital Required (Margin) Not available (user-provided) [USER_INPUT_MARGIN_USD] --

Trade Management Plan

ScenarioAction Plan
Intraday Monitor the ETH price closely. If the price starts approaching the short strike of $3,700, consider exiting the position to prevent a maximum loss scenario. Pay attention to lower timeframe charts for any signs of a reversal.
Carry-forward This is a short-term bearish strategy. Carry the position only if the price remains well below the breakeven point of $3715.20. If the price breaches the short strike of $3,700, it is advisable to close the position to limit losses.

Disclaimer:

This is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and largely unregulated in India. Trading in derivatives involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. All trades should be conducted with proper risk management. As per current Indian regulations, crypto income is subject to a 30% tax, and a 1% TDS is applicable on all transactions.

Bitcoin Option Strategy: 02-08-2025

Bitcoin Option Strategy Report - Bear Call Spread

Bitcoin Option Strategy Report

A detailed analysis and strategy report for Bitcoin (BTC) on Delta Exchange.

Market Analysis (Based on Provided Charts)

1-Week Chart

The 1-week chart shows a strong uptrend, but the Stochastic RSI is deep in the overbought zone at 86.64, suggesting a potential near-term pullback or consolidation.

1-Day Chart

The daily chart indicates a short-term downtrend or consolidation, with the price dropping below the 20 EMA. The Stochastic RSI is at 0.00, in the oversold zone, which signals a potential bounce from current levels.

15-Minute Chart

The 15-minute chart shows a sharp downtrend, with the price below all EMAs. The Stochastic RSI shows a recent crossover from the oversold area, hinting at a potential short-term bounce.

Proposed Strategy: Bear Call Spread

This is a risk-managed credit spread strategy for a moderately bearish or neutral outlook, expecting the price of Bitcoin to remain below a certain level. Based on the validation data, a total of 0.01 BTC (5 contracts of 0.002 BTC) was used for this strategy.

Strategy Legs

  • **Sell** 5 contracts of BTC Call at Strike 116,000
  • **Buy** 5 contracts of BTC Call at Strike 117,000

Strategy Payoff Parameters

Parameter Calculated Value
Net Premium Received $3.43 USD (~₹292)
Maximum Profit $3.43 USD (~₹292)
Maximum Loss -$6.56 USD (~-₹558)
Breakeven Point $116,343.95 (~₹9,904,236)
Margin Required Not available (upload margin data)

Validation

The calculated values were cross-verified with Delta Exchange's strategy builder via user-provided screenshots. The results are a direct match.

Parameter Calculated Value External Tool Value Match
Max Profit $3.43 USD (~₹292) $3.43 USD (~₹292)
Max Loss -$6.56 USD (~-₹558) -$6.56 USD (~-₹558)
Breakeven $116,343.95 (~₹9,904,236) $116,343.95 (~₹9,904,236)

Trade Management Plan

Intraday

Monitor BTC price closely; exit by 3 PM UTC if it approaches the upper short strike of $116,000. Watch for significant volume spikes or strong reversal candlestick patterns on lower timeframes, especially around key support/resistance levels.

Carry Forward

Carry forward if profitable and BTC stays within the defined range. Be prepared to adjust if key support/resistance levels are breached on higher timeframes or if EMAs show a strong shift in trend. Consider closing positions before expiry if maximum profit is near.

Disclaimer

This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and largely unregulated in India. Any profit from cryptocurrency is subject to a flat 30% tax, and a 1% TDS is applicable on transactions. Cryptocurrencies are not legal tender in India. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All trading involves risk and is done at your own discretion. Consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Nifty 50 Strategy for Expiry 28-08-2025 (Monthly option strategy)

Bull Put Spread - Nifty 50 Option Strategy Report

Nifty 50 Option Strategy Report

This report details a Nifty 50 option selling strategy for a monthly timeframe, based on technical analysis and validated parameters. Please note that this is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.

1. Market Analysis (Higher Timeframe)

1-Day Chart Analysis

The short-term trend appears to be a pullback within a broader uptrend. Price has recently fallen below the 20 and 50 EMAs. Stochastic RSI is around 22.41, close to oversold, suggesting selling pressure might be exhausting. Longer-term EMAs (100, 200) indicate the uptrend is intact. Immediate support around 24,592 (EMA 100).

Nifty 1-Day Chart

1-Week Chart Analysis

A very strong, well-established long-term uptrend. The current price action is a minor correction. Stochastic RSI is at 10.05, deeply oversold, indicating the weekly correction might be overextended and a strong bounce is probable. Price is comfortably above all major EMAs, which are sloping upwards, reinforcing the strong bullish bias.

Nifty 1-Week Chart

1-Month Chart Analysis

An exceptionally strong and sustained long-term uptrend. Stochastic RSI is at 35.36 (neutral). Price is significantly above all monthly EMAs, which are steeply sloping upwards, indicating robust and persistent bullish momentum over the long term.

Nifty 1-Month Chart

2. Option Chain Data (August 29, 2025 Expiry)

The following data was used for strategy derivation. Nifty Spot Price (Approx): 24,650.

Strike Price Option Type Premium (LTP) Open Interest (OI)
24,250 24,250 PE ₹160.80 ₹160.80 - -
24,200 24,200 PE ₹146.85 ₹146.85 2,765 реи,ренремрел
24,150 24,150 PE ₹135.85 ₹135.85 - -
24,100 24,100 PE ₹123.60 ₹123.60 411 рекрезрез
24,050 24,050 PE ₹114.15 ₹114.15 24 реирек
24,000 24,000 PE ₹104.70 ₹104.70 8,986 рео,репреорем
23,950 23,950 PE ₹96.05 ₹96.05 - -
23,900 23,900 PE ₹87.10 ₹87.10 135 резрейрел
23,850 23,850 PE ₹80.10 ₹80.10 21 реирез
23,800 23,800 PE ₹72.90 ₹72.90 289 реиреореп

3. Proposed Option Selling Strategy

Parameter Value
Strategy Name Bull Put Spread
Description Sell 24,200 PE at ₹146.85 and Buy 24,000 PE at ₹104.70
Sell Leg 24,200 PE @ ₹146.85
Buy Leg (Hedge) 24,000 PE @ ₹104.70
Lot Size 75 ренрел
Net Premium Received ₹3,161.25
Maximum Profit ₹3,161.25
Maximum Loss ₹11,838.75
Breakeven Point 24,157.85

4. Payoff Chart

5. External Validation

Parameter Calculated Sensibull Match
Max Profit ₹3,161.25 ₹3,161
Max Loss ₹11,838.75 ₹11,839
Breakeven Point 24,157.85 24,158
Parameter Value
Capital Required (Angel One) ₹39,000
Capital Required (Sensibull) ₹47,211
Final Capital Required (Higher) ₹47,211

6. Trade Management Plan

Aspect Guideline
Intraday Management Monitor daily close relative to the 24,200 strike. If Nifty closes below 24,200, consider adjusting or exiting a portion of the spread. Avoid reacting to minor intraday fluctuations.
Carry Forward Management Carry forward if Nifty remains above 24,200. Review the strategy weekly, especially if Nifty approaches the breakeven point (24,157.85). If Nifty breaks below 24,000, exit the position. Consider rolling down the spread if Nifty shows sustained weakness but remains above 24,000.

Disclaimer: This report is generated for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The accuracy of data from external tools is dependent on the information provided by those platforms.

ETH option strategy: 10-10-2025

Ethereum Bear Call Spread Analysis Options Strategy & Analysis ...