Saturday, 30 August 2025

Weekly Market Report 30-08-2025

Weekly Market Report: August 30, 2025

Weekly Market Report

August 30, 2025

Provided by your friendly market AI.

Section 1: For Indian Traders

US Tariffs on Indian Goods Weigh on Markets

The Indian market saw a bearish trend this week following the implementation of new US tariffs on Indian goods, including a 25% punitive tariff related to Russian oil purchases. This move has raised concerns among investors and contributed to profit-booking, with the Nifty and Sensex indices experiencing a decline. The rupee also depreciated against the US dollar.

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India's GDP Surges Despite Tariff Concerns

India's GDP grew by 7.8% in the April-June quarter, exceeding market forecasts and cementing its position as the world's fastest-growing major economy. The growth was driven by strong private consumption and government spending, although some analysts warn that the new US tariffs could weigh on the country's export-driven sectors in the coming quarters.

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SEBI Considers Changes to Derivatives Market

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is reportedly evaluating a shift in the futures and options (F&O) market towards longer-dated contracts. This is aimed at reducing excessive speculation by retail traders, who often incur significant losses in short-term options, and promoting more stable, risk-managed strategies.

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NSE Mock Trading Session Held on Saturday

The National Stock Exchange (NSE) is conducting a mock trading session today across all market segments to help brokers test systems ahead of a mandatory software migration. This is a routine exercise to ensure operational resilience and is not related to live market activity.

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Section 2: For Crypto Traders

Indian Traders Flocking to Crypto Futures

Crypto futures trading volumes on Indian exchanges have surpassed spot transactions by more than three times. This is largely driven by a bullish market and the ability to legally bypass the 1% Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) and the 30% flat profit tax applied to spot trades, as futures trades do not involve an actual transfer of digital assets.

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Market Rebounds on Dovish Fed Signals

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) saw a notable uptick this week, fueled by a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which hinted at a possible interest rate cut. This move typically makes speculative assets like cryptocurrencies more attractive. BTC is currently trading around $111,300, with a key support level at $109,000.

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Rupee-Backed Stablecoins on the Horizon in India

Industry leaders are discussing the potential of a rupee-backed stablecoin in India to accelerate digital payments and enhance financial inclusion. While regulatory hurdles exist, some believe that such a development could be a game-changer for payments and international remittances, offering a cheaper and more transparent alternative to traditional banking.

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Global Tax Framework for Crypto Transactions

The OECD's new Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) is gaining global traction, with 69 jurisdictions committed to implementing it. The framework requires crypto service providers to collect and report detailed customer and transaction information to tax authorities, which will then be exchanged between countries.

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ETH Option Strategy: 30-08-2025

Options Strategy Report

Options Strategy Report

Ethereum – Aug 30, 2025

๐Ÿ“Š Chart Analysis

Bias: Bearish

EMA/Trend: 20>50>100>200 (downtrend on 15m, 1h; mixed on 4h)

Support/Resistance: Support at 4,374.38, Resistance at 4,419.72

Entry Signals: Pullback to EMA20/50 on 15m with Stoch RSI crossover below 40

๐Ÿ–ผ️ 15 Min Chart

User-provided static chart will appear here

15-Min Chart

๐Ÿ“ˆ Option Chain Analysis

Highest Put OI: 4,350 (69.11K)

Highest Call OI: 4,250 (100.87K)

IV: High (based on IV% and premium spreads)

Volume/OI Notes: Significant OI clusters at 4,250 and 4,350

๐ŸŽฏ Selected Strategy

Strategy: Bear Call Spread

Strikes: Sell 4,250 Call, Buy 4,350 Call

Rationale: Bearish bias, high IV, and OI support/resistance at 4,250/4,350

๐Ÿ’ฐ Metrics

Entry Premiums: Sell 4,250 Call at $62.14, Buy 4,350 Call at $15.27

Max Profit: $46.87 × 0.1 ETH = $4.687

Max Loss: $100 - $46.87 = $53.13

Risk/Reward: 4.687 / 53.13 ≈ 0.088

POP: ≈ 1 - |0.32| = 68%

Lot Basis: ETH (Delta) = 0.1 ETH

๐Ÿ“Œ Trade Note

Entry Trigger: Pullback to 4,250 with Stoch RSI below 40

Exit Plan: Take profit at 50% max profit, Stop loss at 4,350, Invalidation above 4,419.72

๐Ÿ”— Recommended Trading Platforms

⚠️ Disclaimer

Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please ensure you understand the risks involved and consult with your financial advisor before participating. As per SEBI guidelines, past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly.

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