ETH option startegy:30-09-2025

Options Strategy & Analysis

Ethereum / U.S. Dollar – September 29, 2025

📊 Chart Analysis

Bias: Neutral to Bullish

EMA/Trend: Price consolidating with flattening EMAs (20/50/100/200)

Support/Resistance: Support @ $4,160 | Resistance @ $4,250

Stoch RSI: Neutral (K: 31.62, D: 56.12)

🖼️ 15m Chart

Ethereum/USD 15m chart showing EMA trends and Stochastic RSI

📈 Option Chain Analysis

Highest Put OI: 4,160 (Strong Support)

Highest Call OI: 4,250 (Resistance)

IV Skew: Balanced IV skew

Greeks Insight (Delta/Theta): Delta near neutral, Theta slightly positive

🎯 Selected Hedged Strategy

Strategy: Iron Condor

Strikes: Sell $4,250 Call, Buy $4,300 Call, Sell $4,150 Put, Buy $4,100 Put

Rationale: Neutral bias with balanced OI and flattening EMAs suggest range-bound movement

💰 Pre-Trade Metrics

Entry Premiums (Net Credit): $0.70

Max Profit: $0.70

Max Loss: $9.30

Risk/Reward: 0.075

Prob. of Profit (POP): 70%

Lot Basis: 0.01 ETH (1 lot)

Risk Level:

Low Moderate High

📌 Trade Note

Entry Trigger: Enter if price stabilizes between $4,150 and $4,250

Exit Plan: Exit at 50% profit or if price breaks outside $4,150-$4,300 range

Post-Trade Analysis

Trade Completed • $0 Not Executed

Final P&L

$0

Return on Risk

0%

Trade Duration

24 Hours

Strategy Recap

Trade not initiated as entry condition (price stabilizing between $4,150 and $4,250) was not met.

Strategy Performance

N/A

Learnings & Observations

• Monitor price action around support and resistance levels.
• Confirm entry conditions before executing the strategy.

🔗 Recommended Trading Platforms

Kotak Neo (NSE/BSE/MCX)

For Indian Equities & Derivatives

Delta Exchange

For Crypto Futures & Options

⚠️ Disclaimer

Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please ensure you understand the risks involved and consult with your financial advisor before participating. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly.

Nifty 50 oprion strategy : 30-09-2025

Options Strategy & Analysis
Nifty 50 – Thursday, September 26, 2025

Fresh Strategy

Post-Trade Analysis

📊 Chart Analysis

Bias: Strong Bearish

EMA/Trend: Price below all EMAs (20/50/100/200). EMAs are stacked for a clear downtrend.

Support/Resistance: Support @ 24,600 (Put OI Peak) | Resistance @ 25,000 (Call OI Peak)

Stoch RSI: Stochastic RSI is in the neutral zone (59.66/66.12) with K-line below D-line, confirming Bearish Momentum.

🖼️ 15 Minute Chart

Nifty 50 15min chart showing strong downtrend and price below all key EMAs.

📈 Option Chain Analysis

Highest Put OI: 24,600 (Major Support)

Highest Call OI: 25,000 (Strong Resistance)

IV Skew: IV skew suggests higher volatility for OTM puts, consistent with a bearish outlook.

Greeks Insight (Delta/Theta): Short strike Delta (approx 0.14) is low, providing a high probability of profit (POP).

🎯 Selected Hedged Strategy

Strategy: Bear Call Spread

Strikes: Sell 25,000 Call @ ₹72.30, Buy 25,100 Call @ ₹49.45 (Net Credit: ₹22.85/unit)

Rationale: Strong Bearish bias and resistance at 25,000 suggest a high-probability trade where Nifty 50 is expected to stay below 25,000 by expiry.

💰 Pre-Trade Metrics

Entry Premiums (Net Credit): ₹1,713.75

Max Profit: ₹1,713.75

Max Loss: ₹5,786.25

Risk/Reward: 0.30

Prob. of Profit (POP): 86%

Lot Basis: 75

Risk Level:

LowModerateHigh

📌 Trade Note

Entry Trigger: Enter if price tests EMA 20 (approx 24,750) and reverses down, or if the market opens with bearish consolidation below 24,800.

Exit Plan: Exit at 50% profit (₹857) or if loss reaches 50% of max loss (₹2,893). Book full loss if Nifty trades above 25,050.

Post-Trade Analysis Trade Completed • ₹0 Not Executed

Final P&L

₹0

Return on Risk

0%

Trade Duration

24 Hours (Sep 25 Trade)

Strategy Recap

The Bull Put Spread (Sell 25,150P / Buy 25,000P) from Sep 25 was **not initiated** as the entry condition ('price holds above 25,120') was not met. Nifty 50 continued its steep decline well below the entry level.

Strategy Performance

The non-execution of the trade avoided a potential loss, as the market moved sharply against the bullish position. The strict entry trigger proved effective as a risk management tool.

Learnings & Observations

• Always adhere to the pre-defined entry trigger. Ignoring it would have resulted in an early loss in a strongly bearish market.
• In a strong trend (like the current bearish one), credit spreads should be placed on the side of resistance/trend (Bear Call Spread) rather than against it.

🔗 Recommended Trading Platforms

Kotak Neo (NSE/BSE/MCX)

For Indian Equities & Derivatives

Delta Exchange

For Crypto Futures & Options

⚠️ Disclaimer

Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please ensure you understand the risks involved and consult with your financial advisor before participating. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly.

Btc option startegy :30-09-2025

Options Strategy & Analysis

Bitcoin Perpetual Futures – Monday, September 29, 2025

📊 Chart Analysis

Bias: BEARISH

EMA/Trend: EMA 20/50/100/200 declining

Support/Resistance: Support @ 111,780 | Resistance @ 113,810

Stoch RSI: OVERSOLD - Potential bounce

🖼️ 15 min Chart

Bitcoin Perpetual Futures chart showing bearish momentum with declining EMAs and Stoch RSI in oversold territory on 15m timeframe

📈 Option Chain Analysis

Highest Put OI: 113,000 (Strong Support)

Highest Call OI: 114,000 (Resistance)

IV Skew: Slightly skewed towards puts

Greeks Insight (Delta/Theta): Delta: -0.48 (Bearish), Theta: positive

🎯 Selected Hedged Strategy

Strategy: Bear Call Spread

Strikes: Sell $113,000 Call, Buy $114,000 Call

Rationale: Bearish outlook with defined risk, capitalizing on oversold conditions

💰 Pre-Trade Metrics

Entry Premiums (Net Credit): $0.45

Max Profit: $0.45

Max Loss: $0.55

Risk/Reward: 0.82

Prob. of Profit (POP): 52%

Lot Basis: 0.01 BTC

Risk Level:

Low Moderate High

📌 Trade Note

Entry Trigger: Enter when price below $113,000

Exit Plan: Exit at 75% of max profit or if price breaks $114,000

Post-Trade Analysis

Trade Completed • $0 Not Executed

Final P&L

$0

Return on Risk

0%

Trade Duration

24 Hours

Strategy Recap

Trade not initiated as entry condition (price below $113,000) was not met.

Strategy Performance

N/A

Learnings & Observations

• Wait for confirmed entry signals before initiating trades.
• Monitor Stoch RSI for potential reversals in oversold conditions.

🔗 Recommended Trading Platforms

Kotak Neo (NSE/BSE/MCX)

For Indian Equities & Derivatives

Delta Exchange

For Crypto Futures & Options

⚠️ Disclaimer

Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please ensure you understand the risks involved and consult with your financial advisor before participating. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly.