Wednesday, 23 July 2025

Nifty 50 Options Strategy for July 24, 2025

 

Nifty 50 Options Strategy - Markets with Roto

Nifty 50 Options Strategy for July 24, 2025

Welcome to Markets with Roto! Today, we're diving into a Nifty 50 options strategy for intraday trading on July 24, 2025, considering the current market conditions and option chain data.


Market Analysis (Nifty 50) ЁЯУИ

As of July 23, 2025, 11:25 PM IST, Nifty 50 is showing a clear uptrend across multiple timeframes:

  • Daily Chart: The Nifty 50 is trading above its 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, confirming a strong uptrend. The daily Stoch RSI is in the oversold territory, suggesting potential for an upward bounce or continuation of the trend.
  • Hourly Chart: Similar to the daily chart, the hourly chart also shows Nifty trading above its EMAs, indicating bullish sentiment. The Stoch RSI is in the overbought region, implying a possible minor pullback or consolidation before the next leg up.
  • 15-Minute Chart: The short-term chart also aligns with the bullish view, with Nifty above its EMAs. The Stoch RSI on this timeframe is also overbought, reinforcing the possibility of short-term consolidation.

The overall market sentiment for Nifty 50 appears to be bullish with potential for short-term consolidation.


Option Chain Analysis (Expiry: July 31, 2025) ЁЯУК

Examining the Nifty 50 option chain for the July 31, 2025 expiry:

  • Put Open Interest (OI): Significant OI is observed at 24,700 (7,727 lots) and 24,800 (666 lots) Put strikes, indicating strong support levels. This suggests that market participants believe Nifty is unlikely to fall below these levels significantly.
  • Call Open Interest (OI): On the Call side, substantial OI is seen at 25,200 (479 lots) and 25,300 (27 lots) strikes. These act as immediate resistance levels.

The concentration of Put OI at lower strike prices reinforces the belief in underlying support, while Call OI indicates resistance at higher levels. Given the overall bullish bias, selling OTM (Out-of-the-Money) Puts can be a viable strategy.


Proposed Strategy: Bull Put Spread (Intraday - July 24, 2025) ЁЯРВ

Why Bull Put Spread?

This strategy is ideal when you expect the underlying asset (Nifty 50) to rise moderately or stay above a certain level. It limits both potential profit and potential loss, making it a hedged strategy. We will sell an OTM Put option and buy a further OTM Put option as a hedge.

Strategy Details:

  • Action 1: Sell Nifty 50 JUL 24,700 PUT (Considering significant OI and support, and current Nifty around 25,200).
  • Action 2: Buy Nifty 50 JUL 24,600 PUT (As a hedge to limit downside risk).

We're selecting strikes based on the option chain analysis, aiming to sell a Put where there's good support and buy a lower Put for protection.

Estimated Premiums (Approximate based on July 23rd EOD data, subject to change):

  • Selling 24,700 PE (Put European): Approximately ₹763.80 (Premium received)
  • Buying 24,600 PE (Put European): Approximately ₹714.30 (Premium paid)

Calculations:

  • Net Premium Received: ₹763.80 - ₹714.30 = ₹49.50 per lot
  • Max Profit: Net Premium Received = ₹49.50 per lot
  • Max Loss: (Strike Price of Sold Put - Strike Price of Bought Put) - Net Premium Received
  • Max Loss: (24,700 - 24,600) - 49.50 = 100 - 49.50 = ₹50.50 per lot
  • Breakeven Point: Strike Price of Sold Put - Net Premium Received = 24,700 - 49.50 = 24,650.50

Nifty Lot Size: 50

  • Max Profit (per lot): ₹49.50 * 50 = ₹2,475
  • Max Loss (per lot): ₹50.50 * 50 = ₹2,525

Capital Required and Cost of Trade ЁЯТ░

The capital required for a Bull Put Spread is the maximum loss potential plus margin requirements. For this specific spread, the margin blocked would typically be the difference in strike prices multiplied by the lot size, adjusted for the net premium received.

  • Span Margin + Exposure Margin: This would be approximately the difference in strike prices multiplied by lot size (24,700 - 24,600) * 50 = 100 * 50 = ₹5,000 per lot. Brokers may require additional margin. (This is a rough estimate; actual margin will vary by broker and market conditions).
  • Capital Required (approximate): Around ₹5,000 - ₹8,000 per lot (varies by broker and market volatility).
  • Brokerage and Taxes:
    • Brokerage: Varies per broker (e.g., ₹20 per order for selling/buying options). For this strategy, it's 2 orders (sell + buy).
    • STT (Securities Transaction Tax): Applicable on sell-side for options.
    • Transaction Charges, GST, SEBI Turnover Fees, Stamp Duty: These will also apply.

Estimate total cost of trade (brokerage + taxes) to be around ₹80 - ₹150 per lot, but please check with your specific broker's charges.


Payoff Chart ЁЯУИ

The payoff chart for a Bull Put Spread visually represents the profit/loss at different expiry prices of Nifty 50.

Nifty at Expiry Sold 24,700 PE Bought 24,600 PE Net P&L (per lot)
≥ 24,700 Premium Received (₹763.80) Premium Paid (₹714.30) ₹2,475 (Max Profit)
24,650.50 (Breakeven) Loss = 24,700 - 24,650.50 = 49.50 Premium Paid ₹0
24,600 Loss = 24,700 - 24,600 = 100 Premium Paid ₹-2,525 (Max Loss)
≤ 24,600 Max Loss = 24,700 - Nifty Gain = 24,600 - Nifty ₹-2,525 (Max Loss)



Disclaimer and Important Note:

This analysis and strategy are for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a SEBI registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and intraday strategies require constant monitoring.

BTC Intraday Options Strategy - July 24, 2025

BTC Intraday Options Strategy - July 24, 2025

BTC Intraday Options Strategy - July 24, 2025

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Introduction

This post outlines an intraday options selling strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) based on current market conditions as of July 23, 2025. The strategy focuses on selling out-of-the-money (OTM) puts and calls to capitalize on time decay, with levels adjusted for intraday trading on July 24, 2025. Delta Exchange India charges for total cost include trading fees (maker 0.02%-0.05%, taker 0.03%-0.075%), settlement fees, and an 18% GST, with a cap at 10%-12.5% of the premium for options. For exact charges, refer to Delta Exchange India.

Strategy Overview

  • Sell Put: Strike $115,000, targeting support from Stochastic RSI.
  • Sell Call: Strike $120,000, targeting resistance from EMA 200.
  • Expiry: Intraday (e.g., 4-hour or end-of-day settlement).
  • Position Size: 0.1 BTC per contract.
  • Premium Target: $300 (put), $250 (call).

Payoff Chart

BTC Price at Expiry Put Payoff Call Payoff Total Payoff Profit/Loss
$110,000 -$4,700 (loss) +$250 (profit) -$4,450 -$4,200 (after premium & fees)
$115,000 $0 +$250 +$250 +$200 (after fees)
$117,572.5 (Current) $0 +$250 +$250 +$200 (after fees)
$120,000 $0 $0 $0 +$550 (after fees)
$125,000 $0 -$4,750 (loss) -$4,750 -$4,200 (after premium & fees)

Notes: Payoff assumes $300 put premium and $250 call premium collected. Fees (e.g., 0.03%-0.075% taker fee + 18% GST) may reduce net profit; exact costs vary by trade size. Losses are capped at 2x premium if stops are triggered. Check Delta Exchange India for details.

Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss: Trigger at $114,000 (put) or $121,000 (call), limiting loss to ~$600-$800 (including fees).
  • Profit Target: Close at 50%-70% premium retained or if RSI signals reversal.

Next Day Adjustment (July 25, 2025)

Reassess support/resistance levels based on intraday Stochastic RSI and EMA trends. Adjust strikes if price breaks $114,000 or $121,000. Recalculate fees daily on Delta Exchange India.

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